Saturday, March 20, 2010

Little Pakistan’s big India problem

Byline by M J Akbar: Little Pakistan’s big India problem

Pakistan’s India policy is nurtured by a fundamental principle: Pakistan is always right. The obverse assumption is, but naturally, that India is always in the wrong, and gets away because of its size. The conflation between size and strength is meaningless and unhistorical, but remarkably effective. Britain was less than the size of a medium-level principality of the Indian subcontinent, and it ruled half the world.

Grievance is a wide canvas, creating elbow room even for the unacceptable. In this Pakistani logic, even cross-border terrorism becomes India’s fault since its “root cause” is Indian injustice towards the Muslims of the Kashmir valley. History becomes the story of lament, and if facts do not suit the lament then facts must be suitably altered. Little mention is made therefore of the fact that it was Pakistan which began the war on Kashmir within six weeks of freedom; this was the first foreign policy decision taken by independent Pakistan, on the assumption that it could seize what it wanted while India remained comatose. The reality is that if there had been no Pak-sponsored invasion in 1947, the status of Kashmir would have been settled through negotiations by 1948, probably through some form of partition. There would have been no Kashmir problem.

There are two starting points to history as written by Islamabad: Kashmir in 1947 and Bangladesh in 1971. The first exonerates cross-border terrorism; the second is used to explain Islamabad’s need for “strategic depth”, which, in effect, means Pak control of Kabul without interference from India. Once again, the military defeat of Pakistan and birth of Bangladesh is “big” India’s fault. The sequence of events from Sheikh Mujibur Rahman’s spectacular victory in the general elections to the massacre of Bengali civilians in East Pakistan and the consequent arrival of millions of refugees into India is excised from public memory. These are not academic issues; they impinge on current objectives creating tensions, as for instance in Afghanistan.

Any nation’s foreign policy must keep space for flexibility, and therefore cannot be bound to a specific pattern, but its contours are always evident. The world’s powers and superpowers cannot be indifferent to India-Pakistan relations, not only because the two neighbours have nuclear weapons, but also because they are involved in a critical battle zone of the next decade. America and Britain would be happy to see peace between India and Pakistan, not because it is a good thing in itself, but also because it is in their interest to release Pakistan from confrontation with India so that it can concentrate on the confrontation with their foes in Af-Pak region. Their need for Pakistan makes them add to their historical ambivalence about a core problem, the terms on which this peace can be arranged. It would suit them to see a more compliant India, even though, on paper, India is closer to Anglo-America’s definition of terrorism than Pakistan’s. Washington and London, therefore, have to negotiate each decision, whether on policy framework or specifics like Headley, through a complex web of immediate necessity, medium-term options and long-term horizon. Contradictions are inevitable.

Russia, aware of its post-Soviet limitations, but determined to pursue its interests in Iran, Central Asia and Afghanistan to the extent possible, would prefer a greater convergence of Russia-India objectives on terrorism as well as national priorities in South, Central and West Asia. The revival of a military equation between these two powers is evidence of shared goals. The reasons are not the same, for the world is radically different, but the impulses and intellectual reasoning that brought India close to the Soviet Union are again in play within the India-Russia relationship. Russia would be happy at a resolution in South Asia, but with its tilt towards Delhi.

China is the one regional power that has no interest in Indo-Pak peace, and as long as China remains Pakistan’s all-weather benefactor, a settlement is unlikely. Pakistan’s self-image, painted with the brush of lament, suits China perfectly, because it can outsource a substantive part of its competition/confrontation with India to Pakistan. China and Pakistan offer a vital service to each other, by improving mutual comfort levels. With China by its side, Pakistan can negate, psychologically, India’s “big” factor. China helped build Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal not only as reassurance, but also to stretch the nuclear confrontation from the north to the west. Pakistan is the nuclear hedge that China factors into its war games at a time when India is displaying the promise of economic resurgence and military potential.

Diplomats and their political guardians are used to tiptoeing through minefields, but surely there is no region more explosive than the stretch between North India, Iran and Central Asia. West Asia has dangerous triggers of course, but only one side, Israel, has nuclear arms. (This could change, of course, if Iran goes nuclear, a prospect that keeps the mood wintry in Washington and Tel Aviv.) The sheer danger of an unmanageable explosion should, in theory, make the imperative for an Indo-Pak settlement that much more urgent. In practice, the absence of minimal trust, and the competition of a widening arc of national interests, keeps India and Pakistan frozen in a winter of despair.


R.Alamsha Karnan said...

Hijrath appeal will make India a Hero for the Muslim world (Twitter Speech): 1/3

We have invented powerful machines for war. Did we invent any machine for peace?

When a ship is overloaded, the first step to save the ship is to offload the excess load.

Today, India is facing a nightmare with 1.2 billion people growing at the rate of 30 million/yr.

By 2020, we will cross 1.4 billion. We have millions of educated/skilled/unskilled jobless manpower ready to leave India for survival.

We are facing a strange situation. The well qualified leaves India immediately for USA/Gulf jobs.

The average and lesser qualified also wants to leave India either for better life or just for survival.

Ironically, the best product we have ready for export is INDIAN. NRI remittance is the lifeline of our foreign exchange.

The truth is, GOI also is very happy to export Indians. NRI is Lesser burden and also a foreign asset for the nation simultaneously.

Thus, more the Indians leave the better for India. Every Indian is happy to do Hijrath.

To save India, 50% of Indians must leave India within 25 years. Otherwise, the ship will sink.

50% of Indians is 600 million. If we don't move them out, we will add another 300 million by 2020 and so on.

Thus, we have no other option other than moving 50% of our population within 25 yrs by hook or crook.

Every leader knows very well, overpopulation is a very big threat. They won't discuss because they have no answer .

How to distribute 600 million within 25 yrs to save the nation?. Otherwise, we can not walk on the streets

This is where 250 million Indian Muslims have an amazing power to diffuse the overpopulation crisis. Quran shows the way.

It's no secret that majority Muslims are living under fear and threat. 80% of Muslims are poor and live in ghettos/slums.

If Modi repeats Gujarat 2002 as promised and unleashes massacres nationwide, will the police and army save Muslims?

If Modi kills Muslims, police and army will shoot Muslims. Ask any Indian, Hindu or Muslim. They will accept.

250 million Indian Muslims have lost faith in the constitution and Judiciary. This is Truth

90% of Indians are lovely, humble, polite, law abiding and honest. But powerless silent spectators.

Quarn says "If you can NOT practice Islam out of fear and threat, migrate to Darul-Islam - land of Muslims".

Today, majority Muslims live under fear and threat. They have a right to appeal for Hijrath to 55 OIC Islamic nations

The funny part is, 55 OIC Islamic nations also live under fear and threat of US/Israel invasion. Fear seeks fear.

The only way for 55 OIC Islamic nations to protect their lands from US/Israel invasion is, to allow migration

So, if Indian Muslims appeal for Hijrath, can they reject ?. If they reject, it will give clearance for US/Israel to invade them.

This is called master stroke. In Tamil they say "Appadipodu". Wah Guru Wah.

Hijrath appeal is nothing but a request for migration. Whoever likes will invite and whosoever likes will migrate. This is NOT for rich Muslims like SRK, Abdul Kalam etc.

So, most of the 55 OIC nations have to welcome the Hijrath appeal. This is the only way to protect their lands from US/Israel invasion.

Now let us see the political dynamics in India. Muslims will blame Modi+Brahmins and appeal for Hijrath

250 million Muslims have the right to blame Modi+Brahmins. Ask Modi. He will accept 100%. Raj Dharm.

Ask the entire nation, if Muslims have the right to blame Modi+Brahmins?. Entire nation will accept. (I refer only to those bad Brahmins who have transgressed Dharm for selfish reasons. 90% Brahmins are lovely, peaceloving people and they will join with us.)

R.Alamsha Karnan said...

Hijrath appeal will make India a Hero for the Muslim world (Twitter Speech): 2/2

Thus Hijrath appeal by Blaming Modi+Brahmins will unite Muslims+Dalits+Christians+Dravidans. Entire nation is united.

Now what Modi+Brahmins < 4% can do to Muslims?. Entire world is watching. Can they touch any Muslim?

If Modi+Brahmins get angry with Hijrath appeal and unleash violence, it will prove our claim that "Muslims live under fear and threat". Entire world is watching.

In short, Modi+Brahmins will be humbled bcause of Hijrath appeal. This is called ISLAMIC AHIMSA.

Now let's see the reaction of Hijrath appeal across Pak+B'desh+Afghan. All are victims and fedup of Brahmins.

Hijrath appeal by blaming Modi+Brahmins unites NOT only India but the entire Akhand Bharat. Amazing. Alhamdulillah

Hijrath appeal is Islamic. All Jihadis will say Masha Allah and protect Hindustan. Terrorism eliminated in 24 hrs.

Pak, BDesh, and Talibans will become protectors of Hindustan because of Hijrath appeal. 100% regional peace overnight.

Hijrath appeal will culminate into political POWER SHIFT from Brahmins to Muslims+Dalits+Dravidans+Christians platform.

A strong Muslim leadership will command this new political power platform in India.

Hjrath appeal will lead to a mighty "Nuclear powered Akhand Bharat Economic Union" with 1.6 billion people.

China will become a natural ally of this new power centre.

Did you notice the magic?. It's only Hijrath appeal untill now. Nobody has done any Hijrath !!!.

This new Akhand Bharat power centre will attract 55 OIC nations to escape the clutch of US/Israel threat. True. We need NOT go and stand on their door steps. They will come and invite us. We will be in big demand.

India will be seen as a hero who had broken the mighty clutch of US/Israel over the Muslim world.

Hijrath appeal will bring honour and love for India.

This will open the way for population distribution with dignity and respect. This will create millions of jobs for the next 50 yrs.

1 Hindu Nation + 55 Islamic nations = World Peace.

Thanks. Any questions?